Introduction
As the 2024 Emmys approach on September 15, TV enthusiasts and industry insiders alike are eagerly speculating about the potential winners and standout moments of the night. THR’s chief TV critic Daniel Fienberg and awards expert Scott Feinberg have shared their insights, distinguishing between the favorites and the deserving contenders across key categories. Here’s a closer look at their predictions for the biggest awards and who might emerge as the evening’s true stars.
Best Drama Series
Will Win: Shogun
This year’s drama series category is a mix of new and returning shows, with “Shogun” emerging as the clear frontrunner. Despite a competitive field, including “The Crown,” “Fallout,” and “The Morning Show,” “Shogun” leads with a remarkable 25 nominations. The epic adaptation of James Clavell’s novel has captivated audiences and critics alike, earning praise for its meticulous production and impressive cast. FX’s “Shogun” has revitalized the drama category, making it the show to beat.
Should Win: Shogun
According to Fienberg, “Shogun” not only deserves its accolades but is also a testament to FX’s commitment to quality television. Its storytelling and production values set a new standard, making it a worthy recipient of the Emmy.
Best Lead Actor, Drama Series
Will Win: Hiroyuki Sanada
Hiroyuki Sanada’s performance as Lord Toranaga in “Shogun” has made him a standout contender in the Best Lead Actor category. Known in Japan but less recognized in the U.S. before this role, Sanada has captivated audiences with his portrayal. His nuanced and commanding performance is expected to secure him the award.
Should Win: Hiroyuki Sanada
Sanada’s portrayal of Toranaga has been described as both unpredictable and deeply engaging, highlighting his exceptional range and depth. His performance elevates “Shogun” and makes him a deserving winner.
Best Lead Actress, Drama Series
Will Win: Anna Sawai
Anna Sawai’s portrayal of Lady Mariko in “Shogun” is generating significant buzz. Despite strong competition, including Imelda Staunton from “The Crown,” Sawai’s role has been widely acclaimed. Her performance has already earned her the TCA Award for best individual achievement, positioning her as the leading candidate for the Emmy.
Should Win: Anna Sawai
Sawai’s role as Mariko is central to “Shogun,” showcasing her ability to convey complex emotions and motivations. Her performance not only stands out in “Shogun” but also in her work on “Monarch: Legacy of Monsters.”
Best Comedy Series
Will Win: The Bear
“The Bear,” with its acclaimed second season, is poised to win Best Comedy Series again. With a record-setting 23 nominations, it remains a favorite despite some polarizing responses to its third season. The show’s strong track record and critical acclaim make it a likely winner.
Should Win: Reservation Dogs
“Reservation Dogs” is a deserving contender for Best Comedy Series. Its final season was celebrated for its innovative storytelling and emotional depth, making it a standout among its competitors.
Best Lead Actor, Comedy Series
Will Win: Jeremy Allen White
Jeremy Allen White’s performance in “The Bear” has earned him significant recognition, and he is expected to win Best Lead Actor in a Comedy Series for the second consecutive year. His portrayal of Carmy is compelling and continues to resonate with audiences.
Should Win: D’Pharaoh Woon-A-Tai
D’Pharaoh Woon-A-Tai’s work in “Reservation Dogs” is noteworthy, particularly his performance in the episode “Maximus.” His dynamic acting and impressive range make him a strong contender for the award.
Best Lead Actress, Comedy Series
Will Win: Jean Smart
Jean Smart is a frontrunner for Best Lead Actress in a Comedy Series for her role in “Hacks.” Her previous wins and the critical acclaim for her performance solidify her position as the likely winner. However, Quinta Brunson and Ayo Edebiri are also strong contenders.
Should Win: Jean Smart
Smart’s portrayal of Deborah Vance in “Hacks” is a masterclass in comedic acting. Her nuanced performance in the season finale underscores why she remains a top choice for this category.
Best Limited/Anthology Series
Will Win: Baby Reindeer
“Baby Reindeer” is expected to win Best Limited/Anthology Series, thanks to its cultural impact and critical acclaim. Its compelling storytelling and strong performances have set it apart from other nominees.
Should Win: Ripley
“Ripley” offers a fresh take on the classic character with a haunting and suspenseful narrative. Andrew Scott’s performance and Robert Elswit’s cinematography are standout elements that make “Ripley” a deserving winner.
Best Lead Actor, Limited/Anthology Series
Will Win: Richard Gadd
Richard Gadd’s performance in “Baby Reindeer” is expected to secure him the Emmy. His autobiographical portrayal adds depth and authenticity to the series, setting him apart from other nominees.
Should Win: Richard Gadd
Gadd’s portrayal in “Baby Reindeer” is both raw and powerful, making him a standout choice for the award. His performance offers a unique and compelling insight into his character.
Best Lead Actress, Limited/Anthology Series
Will Win: Jodie Foster
Jodie Foster’s role in “True Detective” has earned her widespread acclaim, making her the favorite for Best Lead Actress in a Limited/Anthology Series. Her extensive experience and exceptional performance position her as the top contender.
Should Win: Jodie Foster
Foster’s portrayal in “True Detective” is a testament to her acting prowess. Her performance is expected to resonate with voters, securing her the Emmy.
Conclusion
As the 2024 Emmys approach, the competition is fierce across all categories. With standout performances and critical acclaim for various nominees, the awards ceremony promises to be a memorable event. Keep an eye out for these predictions and watch as the winners are revealed on September 15.



